TABEL PENOLONG ! |
|
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no. | tahun | BI Rate (Y) | Inflasi (X) | XY | X² | Y² | |||||||||||||||
1 | 2003 | 8.3 | 5.1 | 42.33 | 26.01 | 68.89 | |||||||||||||||
2 | 2004 | 7.4 | 6.4 | 47.36 | 40.96 | 54.76 | |||||||||||||||
3 | 2005 | 12.8 | 17.1 | 218.88 | 292.41 | 163.84 | |||||||||||||||
4 | 2006 | 9.8 | 6.6 | 64.68 | 43.56 | 96.04 | |||||||||||||||
5 | 2007 | 8 | 6.6 | 52.8 | 43.56 | 64 | |||||||||||||||
6 | 2008 | 10.8 | 11.1 | 119.88 | 123.21 | 116.64 | |||||||||||||||
7 | 2009 | 6.5 | 2.8 | 18.2 | 7.84 | 42.25 | |||||||||||||||
8 | 2010 | 6.6 | 7 | 46.2 | 49 | 43.56 | |||||||||||||||
9 | 2011 | 5 | 3.8 | 19 | 14.44 | 25 | |||||||||||||||
10 | 2012 | 4.8 | 4.3 | 20.64 | 18.49 | 23.04 | |||||||||||||||
11 | 2013 | 7.2 | 8.4 | 60.48 | 70.56 | 51.84 | |||||||||||||||
12 | 2014 | 6.9 | 8.4 | 57.96 | 70.56 | 47.61 | |||||||||||||||
13 | 2015 | 7.1 | 3.4 | 24.14 | 11.56 | 50.41 | |||||||||||||||
14 | 2016 | 5.9 | 3 | 17.7 | 9 | 34.81 | |||||||||||||||
Σ (SUM) = | 107.1 | 94 | 810.25 | 821.16 | 882.69 | ||||||||||||||||
UJI -F (LILIE FORCE) ; | UJI LINEARITAS ; | ||||||||||||||||||||
(Jkreg α) = | (ΣY)²/n = | 819.315 | JUMLAH KUADRAT REGRESI A | ||||||||||||||||||
b =( n.ΣXY-ΣX.ΣY)/n.ΣX²-(ΣX)² = | 0.479694 | ||||||||||||||||||||
α = (ΣY - b.ΣX)/n = | 4.4292 | ||||||||||||||||||||
[Jkregα(b/α)] = b.((ΣXY -(ΣX.ΣY)/n) | 43.72407 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Jkres = ΣY² - {Jkregα(b/α) + Jkreg(α)} = | 19.65093 | ||||||||||||||||||||
RJKreg(α) = | Jkreg(α) = | 819.315 | RATA-RATA JUMLAH KUADRAT REGRESI | ||||||||||||||||||
RJKreg(b/α) = Jkreg(b/α) = | 43.72407 | ||||||||||||||||||||
RJKres = Jkres / n-2 = | 1.637578 | ||||||||||||||||||||
F-hitung = RJKreg(b/α) / RJKres = | 26.70046 | ||||||||||||||||||||
F-tabel(1-5%) (1,n-2) lihat tabel uji-f | |||||||||||||||||||||
F-tabel (0.95)(1,14-2) | atau F(0.95)(1,12) = | 3.885 | |||||||||||||||||||
Jadi, F-hitung > F-tabel = 26.70046 > 3.885 ; maka, Ho ditolak ; sehingga regresi linear sederhana dapat digunakan untuk mempredikti tingkat inflasi terhadap BI Rate | |||||||||||||||||||||
bisa juga, data tersebut bersifat linear | |||||||||||||||||||||
Regresi Linear Sederhana ; Y = α + bX = | Y = 4.4292 + 0.479694X | ; Persamaan regresi linear sederhana | |||||||||||||||||||
statistika parametrik (uji-t/t-test) ; | |||||||||||||||||||||
r = (n(ΣXY)-(ΣX.ΣY))/((√(n.ΣX²-(ΣX)²)(n.ΣY²-(ΣY)²)) = | 1276.1 | 2660.24 | 887.25 | 0.830618 | ; Korelasi bersifat Superior, yaitu berkisar 0.76 sampai 0.99 | ||||||||||||||||
1536.326 | |||||||||||||||||||||
hypothesis : Ho : Tidak terdapat pengaruh besar (signifikan) kenaikat tingkat suku bunga terhadap laju inflasi di indonesia. | |||||||||||||||||||||
Ha : terdapat pengaruh besar kenaikan tingkat suku bunga BI terhadap laju inflasi di indonesia. | |||||||||||||||||||||
t-hitung = r√n-2/√1-(r)² = |
| ||||||||||||||||||||
t-tabel (α/2)(n-2) = | t(0.05/2)(14-2) = | 2.179 | |||||||||||||||||||
Lihat tabel uji-t ; | t(0,025)(12) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Jadi, t-hitung > t-tabel = 5.167248 > 2.179 ; maka, Ho tolak ; sehingga terdapat pengaruh besar (signifikan) antara tingkat suku bunga BI terhadap Inflasi di Indonesia sejak tahun 2003 sampai 2016 |
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Selasa, 18 Februari 2020
JAWABAN UAS STATISTIKA SOSIAL 2019
02.13.00
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DAFTAR NILAI SEMENTARA
02.05.00
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DAFTAR NILAI | ||||||||||
Tahun Semester : 2019-2020 Ganjil | ||||||||||
Nama | Kehadiran | Tugas | Partisipasi | UTS | UAS | Nilai Akhir | Nilai Huruf | |||
[10 %] | [15 %] | [15 %] | [25 %] | [35 %] | (Grade) | |||||
1970201003 ALLIYA SALSABILLA | 62.5 | 100 | 100 | 60 | 40 | 65.25 | C | |||
1970201007 PUTRA RIAU UTAMA | 62.5 | 100 | 100 | 60 | 40 | 65.25 | C | |||
1970201008 GEMA AKBAR RAMADHAN | 56.25 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 40 | 0 | D | |||
1970201023 FARHAN HARIYADI | 62.5 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 40 | 75.25 | B | |||
1970201025 RAY PRATAMA TAMBUNAN | 62.5 | 100 | 100 | 40 | 40 | 60.25 | D | |||
1970201028 REKHA DIAN MAYA SARY ZEIN | 62.5 | 100 | 100 | 40 | 40 | 60.25 | D | |||
1970201032 STEFANUS ARI SANTOSO | 50 | 100 | 100 | 40 | 40 | 59 | D | |||
1970201036 CAHAYA INDAH LAIA | 62.5 | 100 | 100 | 60 | 60 | 72.25 | B | |||
1970201037 GOWO RIZKY | 62.5 | 0 | 100 | 60 | 60 | 72.25 | B | |||
1970201038 RIZKY KURNIAWAN | 62.5 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 50 | 78.75 | B | |||
1970201039 REZA ALWIANSYAH | 62.5 | 100 | 100 | 60 | 50 | 68.75 | C | |||
1970201040 TIA VALENTINA MANALU | 62.5 | 100 | 100 | 40 | 40 | 60.25 | D | |||
1970201041 YANNIE HELIANA | 62.5 | 100 | 100 | 40 | 40 | 60.25 | D | |||
1970201043 KEVIN GUNAWAN RUMAPEA | 62.5 | 100 | 100 | 60 | 40 | 65.25 | C | |||
1970201045 JEFRI FERNANDO | 62.5 | 100 | 100 | 60 | 60 | 72.25 | B | |||
1970201047 DANI EFRIANDI | 62.5 | 100 | 100 | 40 | 50 | 63.75 | C | |||
1970201049 LOIES | 62.5 | 0 | 100 | 60 | 40 | 65.25 | C | |||
1970201059 BENNI FAJRI | 62.5 | 100 | 100 | 60 | 60 | 72.25 | B | |||
1970201061 JEHAN YULFINSAH | 62.5 | 100 | 100 | 40 | 40 | 60.25 | D | |||
1970201068 ARIF RAHMAN | 62.5 | 100 | 100 | 40 | 40 | 60.25 | D | |||
1970201069 HARRY SAPUTRA | 62.5 | 100 | 100 | 60 | 40 | 65.25 | C | |||
1970201070 RENALDI FIKRIAN | 62.5 | 100 | 100 | 60 | 40 | 65.25 | C | |||
1970201076 MHD RANGGA PRAYOGA | 62.5 | 100 | 100 | 60 | 40 | 65.25 | C | |||
1970201079 ARI PRAYOGA | 62.5 | 0 | 100 | 60 | 40 | 65.25 | C | |||
1970201080 SANDI ALFADILLAH | 62.5 | 0 | 100 | 60 | 40 | 50.25 | D | |||
1970201081 FAOROKHODA GEBA | 0 | 100 | 100 | 60 | 40 | 59 | C | |||
1970201082 KHAIRUNNISA ADRINIYAH | 62.5 | 100 | 100 | 60 | 60 | 72.25 | B | |||
1970201083 MUHAMMAD IRWAN | 0 | 0 | 100 | 60 | 40 | 44 | D | |||
1970201087 DZIKRY RAMADHON | 0 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 40 | 44 | D | |||